Arsenal hold the edge and Liverpool arrive knowing something isn’t right

Home dominance, table position and recent form collide in North London
Bournemouth v Arsenal - Premier League
Bournemouth v Arsenal - Premier League | Catherine Ivill - AMA/GettyImages

Arsenal host Liverpool this Thursday at the Emirates Stadium as Premier League leaders, unbeaten at home this season and carrying a number that weighs more than any optimistic talk: 14 wins in 15 games at their own ground. On the other side stands an unsteady Liverpool, still fourth in the table but already drifting away from the top and stuck in a run that raises more questions than it offers answers.

The match is worth three points, of course, but it also serves as a real gauge of ambition, control and maturity for an Arsenal side sitting on 48 points and starting to carry itself like a team that knows exactly where it wants to go.

Emirates becomes hostile ground as Arsenal learn how to win without flair

Arsenal v Aston Villa - Premier League
Arsenal v Aston Villa - Premier League | Jacques Feeney/Offside/GettyImages

Arsenal haven’t lost at home this season because they’ve turned the Emirates into an uncomfortable place for any visitor, thanks to consistency. It’s 14 wins from 15 games across all competitions, including the last 12 in a row.

Some still hesitate to talk about the title, and that caution makes sense. Even so, a five-point gap over Manchester City, combined with home form, puts Arsenal in a position that demands the right attitude, especially for a club that’s already let title chances slip in the past.

Liverpool arrive under pressure with flaws exposed

Arne Slot’s Liverpool are living through a stretch that mixes acceptable numbers with an uneasy feeling. Two straight league draws, 0–0 with Leeds United and 2–2 against Fulham, the latter decided by a stoppage-time goal conceded just moments after Cody Gakpo had seemingly secured all three points. Liverpool have held on to fourth place, that’s true, and remain unbeaten in nine games, but the previous winning run appears to have masked weaknesses that are now coming into sharper focus.

There’s a big difference between not losing and actually convincing. Against an Arsenal side this efficient at home, that gap can be costly.

Recent history that carries weight and may shape what comes next

Arsenal have already beaten Manchester City at the Emirates in the 2023/24 and 2024/25 seasons. If they get past Liverpool on Thursday, it will be the first time in the Premier League era that they’ve defeated the reigning champions in three straight home games, something that hasn’t happened since the early 1960s. It’s a historical note that adds pressure, but also fuel.

Liverpool, meanwhile, beat Arsenal 1–0 at Anfield in August with a spectacular free kick from Szoboszlai, but haven’t won at the Emirates in their last three visits. Another defeat wouldn’t just push them further from the title race, it would reinforce the sense that this season may be heading toward a more modest ceiling than fans had hoped.

Thursday’s match doesn’t decide the Premier League, but it does point in certain directions. At the Emirates, where hardly anyone leaves with points, the margin for error is usually razor-thin. Right now, the team in red and white from North London look better equipped to handle that reality.

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