Can Arsenal Break their away curse against Manchester City at the Etihad?

Arsenal looks to end a nine-year winless streak as City defends their home dominance

Manchester City v Arsenal FC - Premier League
Manchester City v Arsenal FC - Premier League | Visionhaus/GettyImages

This coming Sunday, September 22, the fifth round of the Premier League promises loads of adrenaline. Manchester City and Arsenal-both giants in England-face each other in a match that has become synonymous with intensity and technical brilliance. Expectations are sky-high since we are talking about the reigning champions against last season's runner-up-a match carrying all the tension of an early-season clash for the top of the table.

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Unstoppable City, Rising Arsenal: Current Landscape. Manchester City goes into this fifth round of the Premier League as one of those two teams with perfect records thus far. Four wins in four games, 11 goals scored, and only three conceded. Of course, Pep Guardiola has his team playing at near-perfect precision. The match will be held at the Etihad Stadium, which has, over time, grown to become a fortress for City-seemingly unbeatable while on home ground.

On the other hand, Arsenal, managed by Mikel Arteta, also had a strong start but find themselves in fifth position after Saturday's results. That said, the Gunners remain unbeaten with three wins and a draw, boasting an ultimate backline that has conceded just one goal thus far. Their attack may not be as strong as City's, but no one can take away the fact that Arsenal has the better foundation and, more importantly, the confidence of a team that has just downed City.

History weighs in, but the present is what matters

Historically, Arsenal sits at the top of their overall head-to-head with 99 wins and 47 draws against Manchester City. But history does not win you games. The Gunners have beaten City only once in the last ten times these two teams have met. In many of those, Guardiola's team has not just won but bossed these encounters, too, forming a mini-dynasty as evidenced by the spate of trophies won by City in recent times. Additionally, Arsenal haven't won at the Etihad since 2015-a stat that surely adds extra pressure on Arteta and his players.

It's interesting to mention that the last time Arsenal won at the home of City was when both clubs were managed by Manuel Pellegrini and Arsène Wenger, respectively-two icons of a different generation. Much has indeed changed since then, as Manchester City has really cemented its position as the team to beat in England.

Mikel Arteta, Pep Guardiola
Manchester City FC v Arsenal FC - Premier League | Getty Images/GettyImages

What to expect from Guardiola and Arteta?

Both Guardiola and Arteta understand that this game might perhaps not be a defining one in terms of standings but carries massive psychological weight therein. These are two managers who know each other all too well, with Arteta having spent years as an assistant to Guardiola and, in many ways, his style at Arsenal mirroring the philosophy which Guardiola has installed at City. This will be more than a match between the players in the field; it is also about the tactical choices of the two coaches.

As always, tactically, Guardiola downplayed the importance of the result in terms of points: "In terms of the table, it's not that important. What will matter is when we go to London in the second half of the season." Of course, that might just be his way of easing the pressure. We know well that City hardly ever plays for a draw, especially at home. But such is the perfect summation of Guardiola, for whom playing well often translates into near faultless performances.

On the contrary, Arteta is under no illusions how massive a test it will prove to be: "We have to prove that we've taken another step and that we can compete." This game, in his opinion, will be a good opportunity to prove that Arsenal are ready to go toe-to-toe with City through the season. The sour taste of being "so close" last season's campaign, Arsenal no doubt will need to flip the script this time around.

Who can decide the game?

There's no shortage of stars on City's side, but Erling Haaland remains the biggest threat. The Norwegian forward, who already has four goals this season, is literally a goal machine and needs just that little bit of space to wreak havoc. If Kevin De Bruyne is full of fitness, then his vision and pinpoint passing will be another big factor.

Key players for Arsenal are Bukayo Saka and Gabriel Jesus. Saka especially has grown visibly every season. As for Gabriel Jesus, a former City player, the Etihad is a home away from home, and he features heavily in being both a target man and linking up the attack.

Key Factors: The Etihad and the Pressure

One thing that certainly is in City's favor, other than squad depth of course, is the Etihad Stadium itself. It has become a nightmare for visiting teams, as Arsenal hasn't won there in almost a decade. Playing against City away is always a monumental task, and recent history supports this. Arteta knows his team will need to overcome more than just City's talent; they will also have to handle the intimidating atmosphere of playing on the champions' turf.

Still, Arsenal takes to the pitch with a chance to snap that streak, proving times have changed. A win at the Etihad would send a strong message: the Gunners can compete, not just today but all season long.