Is Brazil at risk of missing the 2026 World Cup? The truth behind their worst streak

Brazil faces a critical match against Ecuador after four games without a win. Can they turn things around and secure their spot?

Uruguay v Brazil - CONMEBOL Copa America USA 2024
Uruguay v Brazil - CONMEBOL Copa America USA 2024 | Maciek Gudrymowicz/ISI Photos/GettyImages

The Brazilian national soccer team is bathed in prestige around the world, since it represents the greatest powerhouse in the sport. At this time, however, it faces some very stormy times. This Friday's match against Ecuador, part of the 2026 World Cup Qualifiers, brings an air of uncertainty since Brazil heads into this clash riding its worst qualifying streak in history. With four matches without a victory, the team currently occupies sixth place, the last one that guarantees direct qualification to the World Cup that will be held in the U.S., Mexico, and Canada.

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Alarm Bells Ringing: Is Brazil Going to Miss the World Cup?

The thought of Brazil missing a World Cup is unimaginable among both fans and soccer analysts alike. After all, this is the only team to have played in every single tournament, holding a record of five titles in its pocket. But the current reality raised some very serious flags. This team, under the leadership of Dorival Júnior on his qualifying debut, needs desperately to get it back on track with at least a win.

Brazil are in an awkward position with just seven points from six games. Given Ecuador's good form, the pressure is high. Impressive in the last Copa América, this team has already shown that they can give these South American giants a run for their money, as was seen in their hotly contested game against Argentina. So, this won't be an easy match for the Seleção.

Dorival Junior
Uruguay v Brazil - CONMEBOL Copa America USA 2024 | Kevork Djansezian/GettyImages

The Weight of History: 35 Encounters, a 100th Goal Within Reach

Brazil and Ecuador have played 35 times. Brazil is leading, having won 27 of those matches. Above it all, Brazil is near the goal of scoring its 100th goal against them, needing only two more goals to achieve this. However, even considering such favorable history, caution is needed for the present moment: Ecuador has beaten Brazil twice in World Cup Qualifiers, both in Quito, which showed that they can't be underestimated.

Knowing precisely what type of pressure is on his charges, Dorival Junior has issued a warning already that it will not be a Sunday stroll. "Expect a tough game. Ecuador had a great Copa América and played Argentina toe-to-toe," he promised. His words only drive home the fact that even at home, Brazil have their work cut out for them if they hope to get those three points.

Brazil's Worst Qualifying Run Ever

That is the worst stretch for Brazil in World Cup Qualifying history. Frustrating draws, like the one to Venezuela, together with painful losses to Uruguay, Colombia, and Argentina, have put the team in an uncomfortable position. This is unfamiliar, even scary territory for a squad used to bossing the qualifiers.

Besides the defeats, the team has also undergone several changes on and off the pitch: Dorival Júnior took over and promoted a revolution, calling only eight players who played in the last match in command of the previous coach Fernando Diniz. It was an essential change, but it also implies that a competitive and homogeneous team needs to be built in a very important tournament.

The New Generation: A Glimmer of Hope

There is still ample reason to be optimistic, however. A new generation of talent may finally put Brazil back on track. The likes of established star Vini Jr. and, coming through, Real Madrid's Endrick and Estêvão-who was sold to Chelsea-offer hope that Brazil can regain its fearsome form on the field.

Developed in some of the world's best clubs, these young talents will have the responsibility to carry the weight of the iconic yellow jersey with maturity and skill. Now, the challenge for Dorival Júnior is how he can mix that new generation with the experienced veterans and revive that attacking, fluid soccer the fans want to see.

Rodrygo
Uruguay v Brazil - CONMEBOL Copa America USA 2024 | Kevork Djansezian/GettyImages

More Than Just Three Points: The Match Against Ecuador

The truth is that Friday's game is much more than just those three points. It is an opportunity to turn over a new leaf and open a new chapter on the road to the 2026 World Cup. A convincing victory would partly restore confidence among both players and fans while taking some heat off Dorival Júnior and his coaching staff.

Meanwhile, a slip-up would further complicate matters. Brazil simply cannot afford to drop points at home, especially against teams that, historically, have not been much of a problem. Always demanding, the Brazilian fans need to see their team step up their game to prove why they are still considered one of the greatest powers in soccer.

The Reality: Is Brazil Really at Risk?

While things are super tense, Brazil is unlikely to miss out on the 2026 World Cup. It's too talented a team, and while in a rough patch, they remain one of the best teams in South America. With 10 games left of the qualifiers, there is ample time to regain lost ground.

But Brazil needs to hurry, since no more slips are allowed-most of all, not in home games. Every point counts, and there are no more chances to waste for the team in its pursuit of a solid position among the leaders.

Coupled with all that, rebuilding the squad will be a balancing act between promising youngsters and experienced veterans, an assignment that has been given to Dorival Júnior. If he can pull it off, Brazil will ensure a spot in the 2026 World Cup but enter the tournament not just as a participant but as one of the favorites to win it, as usual.